Erdogan's Call for Islamic Alliance Against Israel: A Study in Demagoguery
Turkish President Erdogan has made efforts over the years to position himself as the spokesperson for the global Muslim community, or Ummah. Most recently, he has called for an Islamic alliance against Israel. His strong stance on the latest Israeli-Hamas conflict has won him praise and provoked strong reactions from Israelis, furthering the image he is trying to create. However, his fiery rhetoric is merely demagoguery, as he shows no willingness to engage in war with Israel.
The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict
According to the Palestinians, over 40,000 of their people have been killed in this conflict that has lasted nearly a year, a situation many of their supporters label as genocide. The living conditions in Gaza are horrendous, with most of the strip damaged or destroyed by Israeli bombs. Egypt keeps its border closed, preventing the outflow of refugees. Given these circumstances, it seems a bit late for anyone to suggest forming an alliance against Israel, regardless of their sincerity.
Erdogan's Motivations
As a shrewd politician, Erdogan has several reasons for proposing this alliance so late in the game.
Firstly, he aims to reinforce Turkey's image as the historical protector of the Ummah from its Ottoman days, hence his loud call for an Islamic alliance.
Secondly, he seeks to establish Turkey at the top of the regional military hierarchy in the minds of those who take his proposal seriously.
Thirdly, he is aware that no Muslim country will willingly submit to Turkey's implied military dominance, especially not the Gulf Kingdoms. Their rejection or indifference to his proposal can be portrayed as them failing to "save Palestine".
Fourthly, Turkey is under public pressure to halt Azerbaijan’s oil exports to Israel via Georgia and Turkey. Since Ankara neither owns the pipeline nor the oil, any interference would violate international law and betray its Azeri ally. Erdogan hopes that public attention on the Islamic alliance might divert some of this pressure.
Lastly, Erdogan aims to wage psychological warfare on Israelis, hoping to inspire them to increase their protests to end the conflict. However, this could backfire by reinforcing their siege mentality and making them reconsider whether ending the conflict is worthwhile if an Islamic alliance is already forming.
Erdogan's Ulterior Motives
It's important to remember that Erdogan is adept at playing to the Ummah's crowds. Therefore, his plans against Israel should not be taken at face value. There are always hidden motives, as explained above. His strong rhetoric may excite those who believe he is sincere, but the excitement will inevitably fade when they realize he is not, potentially leading to a decrease in his popularity.
Bottom Line
Erdogan's call for an Islamic alliance against Israel is a classic example of political demagoguery. He skillfully uses rhetoric to garner support and deflect criticism, all while avoiding any real commitment to action. What are your thoughts on this? Do you think Erdogan's proposal is sincere or just a political maneuver? Share this with your friends and let them know about the Daily Briefing, available every day at 6pm.
