
The 2024 Race and the Panic Surrounding the Harris Campaign
Historical Parallels
The 2024 race is still a tight one, reminiscent of the 1980 Carter-Reagan race at this stage. President Carter, the incumbent at the time, was comfortably leading in the last two October Gallup polls, only to see his lead disappear on Election Day.
Signs of Panic in the Harris Campaign
In the past week, there appears to be a sense of panic within the Harris campaign. Democratic pundits, including Axelrod and Carville, have criticized the Harris campaign and warned of potential difficulties ahead. Some Senate races that were once considered sure wins for the Democrats, such as those in Ohio, Wisconsin, and Michigan, are now tightening.
Trump's Position
Poll-watchers suggest that Trump is close, even, or slightly ahead in the swing-state polls, hinting that he could overcome anticipated “ballot irregularities”.
Unsuccessful October Surprises
The expected October surprises from the Harris-Biden campaign, such as a timely Fed interest rate cut, a beefed-up re-indictment of Jack Smith, a new Hollywood movie critical of Trump, a desperate Zelensky visit to Pennsylvania, and the customary election-cycle Bob Woodward book, seem to have had no impact.
Questionable Campaign Decisions
The decision to send Tim Walz for a Fox Sunday interview following his disastrous debate, and Harris's sudden agreement to participate in interviews, despite their mostly softball nature, have raised eyebrows.
Harris's Interview Performances
Harris's recent interviews, particularly on CBS’s 60 Minutes, have been disasters. They have been characterized by word salads, retreats to her misleading bio, confusion about her prior three years with Biden, and a lack of clear policy prescriptions.
Obama's Return to the Campaign Trail
Barack Obama, despite being somewhat rusty, has returned to the campaign trail. However, his effectiveness is questionable, and he may have been reduced to an Oprah-like caricature.
Impact on the African American Community
Obama's attempts to convince black males, struggling under a hyperinflationary economy, an influx of illegal immigrants, and a rising crime rate, to vote for Harris may not be successful. His accusations of black men being victims of false consciousness and being brainwashed into voting for the Trump agenda may not resonate with this demographic.
Future Implications
If the current trends continue, the removal of Biden on July 21st, along with the selection of Tim Walz as Harris's running mate, could be seen as disastrous decisions by the Democrats.
Bottom Line
The next three weeks could bring about significant changes. However, the current attempts to halt the slide of the Harris campaign seem to be exacerbating the situation. What are your thoughts on the current state of the 2024 race? Do you think the Harris campaign can turn things around? Share this article with your friends and sign up for the Daily Briefing, which is delivered every day at 6pm.